Vol. 01 ainative Research Apr 2026

Papers on the
agentic economy.

A small, growing library. Each paper is written with the same platform it describes, and every metric is traceable to source — either public market data or git version control. No projections without provenance.

02 papers published Apache 2.0
Paper №01 Market Analysis

AI Transformation Research

Building and Governing AI-Native Businesses

Manav Sehgal · March 2026 · 22 min read

How solo founders, agencies, and PE firms build AI-native businesses with governed agent orchestration. A market-sizing, governance, and competitive-landscape analysis of the $7.63B→$52.62B agent economy, the 80–90% production failure rate, and the structural gap no platform currently fills.

market by 2030
$52.62B
CAGR 2025–30
46.3%
agent project failures
80–90%
Read full paper →
Paper №02 Applied Research

Case Study: One Day, One Builder

A Wealth Manager Built on ainative-business in 11 Commits

Manav Sehgal · April 2026 · 22 min read

A single-day, verifiable build of a full wealth-management application — prediction-market integration, divergence detection, scenario modeling, and conviction synthesis — entirely on ainative-business primitives. 7,435 lines of domain code built on 31k–57k lines of inherited platform. Every metric traceable to a specific git commit.

commits in a day
11
lines of code
7,435
time compression
25–40×
Read full paper →
※ More papers in preparation End of Vol. 01